With the first ten rounds of the English Premier League safely behind us, a few conclusions can be drawn out. We now have an idea of each team’s playstyle, strengths, and weaknesses, and are able to make much better choices when it comes to our betting ideas.
Let’s face it, the first 5-6 fixtures of each year are more or less random, but thankfully, that period is behind us. It’s time to look at the next round of matches, which will be played on the 5th of November. Manchester City – Arsenal is undoubtedly one of the more interesting ones.
City has defeated every Premier League record in history so far when it comes to sound starts. 28 points out of a possible 30, with a single draw coming in late August against Everton. The Citizens can also boast with a 35-6 goal difference, which represents the best attack in the league (by far) and the 2nd best defense, only behind local rivals United.
Moreover, their attacking players are all in excellent form: Sane, Aguero, Silva and Jesus all have more goals scored this season than Arsenal’s top scorer Lancazette (5). These people are backed by Kevin de Bruyne, who has shown he is the best passer in the world at the moment. Scary? Yes.
Especially for a team which isn’t precisely cruising at the moment. Before the season started, nobody expected Arsenal to finish higher than 4th or 5th, since both Manchester teams, as well as London Rivals Chelsea and Tottenham, looked better on paper.
That’s precisely the reality on the field as well – they are sitting 5th, behind the teams mentioned above, with a 19-13 goal difference. Their away form is rather sketchy, with only a single win in 5 PL games, against struggling Everton. The main problem seems to be the fact that they can’t stop conceding – which will be especially worrying against City.
Betting Offers & Tips
We have to really go way back to see when Arsenal was ever considered such underdogs in a game. City are favorites at almost every betting site, with odds around 1,50 for their victory.
We do believe in a home victory, of course, but that might not be very profitable. In fact, we’ve seen that in 8 of the last 10 direct encounters, both teams have managed to score, which will be a good idea on Sunday.
Arsenal to score it another possible bet, since the Gunners have the ability to do so. The bottom line is that we expect City to win, over 2,5 goals to be scored, one of which will probably be scored by Sane – Arsenal’s fullbacks just don’t have the quality to deal with him.
Betting Tips & Latest Odds
BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals: Yes @ 1.72 or 8/11
Man City To Win & BTTS: Yes @ 2.40 or 7/5